BALLOT MEASURES / CALIFORNIA PROPOSITION 71 / EXIT POLL
 |
| 2,256 Respondents |
Updated: 2:05 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Male (49%) |
58% |
42% |
| Female (51%) |
61% |
39% |
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| White Men (33%) |
56% |
44% |
| White Women (34%) |
60% |
40% |
| Non-White Men (16%) |
62% |
38% |
| Non-White Women (17%) |
63% |
37% |
VOTE BY RACE
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| White (66%) |
58% |
42% |
| African-American (6%) |
61% |
39% |
| Latino (20%) |
63% |
37% |
| Asian (4%) |
64% |
36% |
| Other (4%) |
60% |
40% |
VOTE BY AGE
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| 18-29 (21%) |
63% |
37% |
| 30-44 (28%) |
56% |
44% |
| 45-59 (28%) |
60% |
40% |
| 60 and Older (23%) |
58% |
42% |
VOTE BY AGE
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| 18-64 (84%) |
59% |
41% |
| 65 and Older (16%) |
61% |
39% |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Under $15,000 (8%) |
66% |
34% |
| $15-30,000 (13%) |
62% |
38% |
| $30-50,000 (19%) |
59% |
41% |
| $50-75,000 (23%) |
60% |
40% |
| $75-100,000 (15%) |
53% |
47% |
| $100-150,000 (14%) |
61% |
39% |
| $150-200,000 (5%) |
55% |
45% |
| $200,000 or More (4%) |
51% |
49% |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Less Than $50,000 (40%) |
61% |
39% |
| $50,000 or More (60%) |
58% |
42% |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Less Than $100,000 (78%) |
59% |
41% |
| $100,000 or More (22%) |
58% |
42% |
ANYONE IN HOUSEHOLD IN A UNION?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (28%) |
60% |
40% |
| No (72%) |
59% |
41% |
ARE YOU A UNION MEMBER?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (17%) |
58% |
42% |
| No (83%) |
60% |
40% |
VOTE BY EDUCATION
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| No High School (4%) |
50% |
50% |
| H.S. Graduate (16%) |
56% |
44% |
| Some College (34%) |
60% |
40% |
| College Graduate (29%) |
59% |
41% |
| Postgrad Study (17%) |
66% |
34% |
VOTE BY EDUCATION
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| No College Degree (54%) |
58% |
42% |
| College Graduate (46%) |
61% |
39% |
VOTE BY PARTY ID
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Democrat (39%) |
80% |
20% |
| Republican (34%) |
36% |
64% |
| Independent (27%) |
60% |
40% |
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Liberal (26%) |
83% |
17% |
| Moderate (46%) |
63% |
37% |
| Conservative (28%) |
32% |
68% |
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| No (12%) |
68% |
32% |
| Yes (88%) |
58% |
42% |
VOTE BY RELIGION
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Protestant (44%) |
50% |
50% |
| Catholic (29%) |
63% |
37% |
| Jewish (4%) |
86% |
14% |
| Other (8%) |
70% |
30% |
| None (15%) |
68% |
32% |
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (11%) |
25% |
75% |
| No (89%) |
64% |
36% |
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| More Than Weekly (11%) |
34% |
66% |
| Weekly (21%) |
45% |
55% |
| Monthly (14%) |
60% |
40% |
| A Few Times a Year (30%) |
70% |
30% |
| Never (22%) |
70% |
30% |
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Weekly (31%) |
42% |
58% |
| Occasionally (43%) |
67% |
33% |
| Never (22%) |
70% |
30% |
VOTE BY RELIGION AND ATTENDANCE
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Protestant/Weekly (10%) |
33% |
67% |
| Prot./Less Often (14%) |
61% |
39% |
| Catholic/Weekly (11%) |
51% |
49% |
| Catholic/Less Often (16%) |
70% |
30% |
| All Others (46%) |
63% |
37% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Today (5%) |
52% |
48% |
| Last Three Days (4%) |
66% |
34% |
| Last Week (2%) |
* |
* |
| Last Month (13%) |
68% |
32% |
| Before That (76%) |
55% |
45% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Today/Last 3 Days (8%) |
58% |
42% |
| Earlier Than That (92%) |
58% |
42% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Within the Last Week (11%) |
65% |
35% |
| Earlier Than That (89%) |
57% |
43% |
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY...
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| For Your Candidate (64%) |
55% |
45% |
| Against His Opponent (31%) |
66% |
34% |
STATE ECONOMY
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Excellent (2%) |
* |
* |
| Good (38%) |
46% |
54% |
| Not So Good (45%) |
64% |
36% |
| Poor (13%) |
73% |
27% |
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Strongly Approve (27%) |
30% |
70% |
| Somewhat Approve (19%) |
50% |
50% |
| Somewhat Disapprove (13%) |
71% |
29% |
| Strongly Disapprove (40%) |
78% |
22% |
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Approve (46%) |
39% |
61% |
| Disapprove (53%) |
76% |
24% |
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Taxes (6%) |
40% |
60% |
| Education (5%) |
72% |
28% |
| Iraq (24%) |
76% |
24% |
| Terrorism (20%) |
47% |
53% |
| Economy/Jobs (17%) |
68% |
32% |
| Moral Values (18%) |
40% |
60% |
| Health Care (5%) |
76% |
24% |
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Cares About People (7%) |
65% |
35% |
| Religious Faith (6%) |
27% |
73% |
| Honest/Trustworthy (13%) |
47% |
53% |
| Strong Leader (19%) |
47% |
53% |
| Intelligent (10%) |
72% |
28% |
| Will Bring Change (27%) |
79% |
21% |
| Clear Stand on Issue (13%) |
48% |
52% |
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS...
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Safer From Terrorism (49%) |
47% |
53% |
| Less Safe (46%) |
71% |
29% |
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Very Confident (47%) |
56% |
44% |
| Somewhat Confident (43%) |
62% |
38% |
| Not Very Confident (6%) |
63% |
37% |
| Not At All Confident (3%) |
* |
* |
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Confident (87%) |
59% |
41% |
| Not Confident (9%) |
54% |
46% |
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Strongly Approve (28%) |
32% |
68% |
| Somewhat Approve (20%) |
49% |
51% |
| Somewhat Disapprove (15%) |
69% |
31% |
| Strongly Disapprove (36%) |
80% |
20% |
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Approve (47%) |
39% |
61% |
| Disapprove (50%) |
77% |
23% |
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Very Well (9%) |
25% |
75% |
| Somewhat Well (29%) |
39% |
61% |
| Somewhat Badly (23%) |
68% |
32% |
| Very Badly (38%) |
78% |
22% |
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Well (37%) |
35% |
65% |
| Badly (59%) |
74% |
26% |
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (46%) |
76% |
24% |
| No (50%) |
42% |
58% |
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (46%) |
39% |
61% |
| No (54%) |
76% |
24% |
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Better (32%) |
44% |
56% |
| Worse (26%) |
73% |
27% |
| Same (40%) |
61% |
39% |
SCHWARZENEGGER APPROVAL RATING
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Approve (72%) |
55% |
45% |
| Disapprove (24%) |
64% |
36% |
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (42%) |
79% |
21% |
| No (54%) |
43% |
57% |
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM?
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Yes (53%) |
44% |
56% |
| No (43%) |
76% |
24% |
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Big Cities (24%) |
72% |
28% |
| Smaller Cities (23%) |
58% |
42% |
| Suburbs (41%) |
57% |
43% |
| Small Towns (7%) |
42% |
58% |
| Rural (5%) |
48% |
52% |
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Urban (47%) |
62% |
38% |
| Suburban (40%) |
57% |
43% |
| Rural (13%) |
49% |
51% |
VOTE BY REGION
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| L.A. County (23%) |
65% |
35% |
| Southern California (28%) |
55% |
45% |
| Bay Area (18%) |
71% |
29% |
| Coastal California (10%) |
62% |
38% |
| Central Valley (20%) |
48% |
52% |
VOTE FOR PRESIDENT
| TOTAL |
Yes |
No |
| Kerry (53%) |
80% |
20% |
| Bush (44%) |
35% |
65% |
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