U.S. PRESIDENT / IOWA / EXIT POLL
|
2,512 Respondents |
Updated: 2:05 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Male (46%) |
52% |
+0 |
47% |
1% |
|
Female (54%) |
49% |
+5 |
51% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
White Men (44%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
1% |
|
White Women (52%) |
49% |
n/a |
51% |
0% |
|
Non-White Men (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Non-White Women (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
VOTE BY RACE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
White (96%) |
50% |
+1 |
49% |
0% |
|
African-American (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Latino (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Asian (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Other (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
18-29 (17%) |
46% |
-4 |
53% |
1% |
|
30-44 (26%) |
55% |
+4 |
44% |
1% |
|
45-59 (29%) |
50% |
+7 |
49% |
0% |
|
60 and Older (28%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
18-64 (81%) |
51% |
+3 |
48% |
1% |
|
65 and Older (19%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Under $15,000 (10%) |
33% |
n/a |
66% |
0% |
|
$15-30,000 (16%) |
43% |
n/a |
55% |
1% |
|
$30-50,000 (24%) |
47% |
n/a |
53% |
0% |
|
$50-75,000 (26%) |
57% |
n/a |
43% |
0% |
|
$75-100,000 (11%) |
51% |
n/a |
49% |
0% |
|
$100-150,000 (7%) |
54% |
n/a |
46% |
* |
|
$150-200,000 (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
$200,000 or More (2%) |
79% |
n/a |
18% |
3% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Less Than $50,000 (51%) |
43% |
n/a |
56% |
0% |
|
$50,000 or More (49%) |
57% |
n/a |
43% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Less Than $100,000 (88%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
0% |
|
$100,000 or More (12%) |
62% |
n/a |
37% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No High School (4%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
1% |
|
H.S. Graduate (29%) |
48% |
+6 |
51% |
0% |
|
Some College (30%) |
54% |
+3 |
46% |
0% |
|
College Graduate (25%) |
52% |
-5 |
47% |
0% |
|
Postgrad Study (12%) |
45% |
-6 |
54% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No College Degree (62%) |
50% |
n/a |
49% |
0% |
|
College Graduate (38%) |
50% |
n/a |
49% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Democrat (34%) |
8% |
-2 |
92% |
0% |
|
Republican (36%) |
93% |
+1 |
7% |
0% |
|
Independent (30%) |
45% |
-2 |
53% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Liberal (19%) |
13% |
-3 |
86% |
1% |
|
Moderate (45%) |
40% |
-4 |
59% |
0% |
|
Conservative (36%) |
81% |
+3 |
18% |
1% |
|
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No (11%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
0% |
|
Yes (89%) |
50% |
n/a |
49% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Protestant (63%) |
56% |
+1 |
44% |
0% |
|
Catholic (23%) |
46% |
+5 |
53% |
1% |
|
Jewish (0%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Other (5%) |
29% |
n/a |
67% |
1% |
|
None (9%) |
30% |
n/a |
69% |
1% |
|
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (22%) |
87% |
n/a |
12% |
0% |
|
No (78%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
0% |
|
WHITE EVANGELICAL/BORN-AGAIN? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (33%) |
66% |
n/a |
33% |
0% |
|
No (67%) |
42% |
n/a |
57% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
More Than Weekly (12%) |
69% |
n/a |
31% |
0% |
|
Weekly (31%) |
54% |
n/a |
45% |
1% |
|
Monthly (16%) |
50% |
n/a |
50% |
0% |
|
A Few Times a Year (26%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
1% |
|
Never (12%) |
33% |
n/a |
66% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Weekly (42%) |
58% |
n/a |
41% |
0% |
|
Occasionally (41%) |
47% |
n/a |
53% |
0% |
|
Never (12%) |
33% |
n/a |
66% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION AND ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Protestant/Weekly (21%) |
63% |
n/a |
36% |
0% |
|
Prot./Less Often (21%) |
50% |
n/a |
50% |
0% |
|
Catholic/Weekly (11%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
1% |
|
Catholic/Less Often (11%) |
44% |
n/a |
55% |
1% |
|
All Others (33%) |
44% |
n/a |
55% |
1% |
|
ARE YOU MARRIED? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (67%) |
53% |
n/a |
46% |
0% |
|
No (33%) |
43% |
n/a |
56% |
1% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Today (6%) |
45% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
Last Three Days (5%) |
43% |
n/a |
56% |
0% |
|
Last Week (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Last Month (11%) |
42% |
n/a |
56% |
1% |
|
Before That (74%) |
54% |
n/a |
45% |
0% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Today/Last 3 Days (12%) |
44% |
n/a |
54% |
1% |
|
Earlier Than That (88%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
0% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Within the Last Week (14%) |
43% |
n/a |
56% |
1% |
|
Earlier Than That (86%) |
53% |
n/a |
47% |
0% |
|
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
For Your Candidate (69%) |
60% |
n/a |
40% |
0% |
|
Against His Opponent (27%) |
27% |
n/a |
72% |
1% |
|
STATE ECONOMY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Excellent (4%) |
78% |
n/a |
21% |
1% |
|
Good (51%) |
69% |
n/a |
30% |
0% |
|
Not So Good (34%) |
26% |
n/a |
73% |
1% |
|
Poor (9%) |
20% |
n/a |
78% |
1% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (30%) |
96% |
n/a |
4% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Approve (24%) |
82% |
n/a |
16% |
1% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (15%) |
12% |
n/a |
87% |
1% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (31%) |
0% |
n/a |
99% |
0% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Approve (53%) |
90% |
n/a |
9% |
0% |
|
Disapprove (46%) |
4% |
n/a |
95% |
0% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Taxes (5%) |
60% |
n/a |
37% |
* |
|
Education (4%) |
38% |
n/a |
62% |
0% |
|
Iraq (20%) |
22% |
n/a |
78% |
0% |
|
Terrorism (18%) |
87% |
n/a |
12% |
1% |
|
Economy/Jobs (21%) |
15% |
n/a |
85% |
0% |
|
Moral Values (22%) |
87% |
n/a |
12% |
0% |
|
Health Care (7%) |
25% |
n/a |
75% |
0% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Cares About People (10%) |
28% |
n/a |
72% |
1% |
|
Religious Faith (9%) |
93% |
n/a |
6% |
0% |
|
Honest/Trustworthy (12%) |
69% |
n/a |
30% |
0% |
|
Strong Leader (21%) |
84% |
n/a |
16% |
0% |
|
Intelligent (7%) |
13% |
n/a |
86% |
1% |
|
Will Bring Change (25%) |
5% |
n/a |
94% |
0% |
|
Clear Stand on Issue (12%) |
76% |
n/a |
23% |
1% |
|
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Safer From Terrorism (55%) |
78% |
n/a |
21% |
0% |
|
Less Safe (42%) |
16% |
n/a |
84% |
0% |
|
JOB SITUATION IN YOUR AREA |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Better Today (16%) |
89% |
n/a |
11% |
0% |
|
Worse Today (43%) |
17% |
n/a |
83% |
0% |
|
About the Same (41%) |
70% |
n/a |
28% |
1% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (26%) |
95% |
n/a |
5% |
1% |
|
Somewhat Approve (28%) |
72% |
n/a |
27% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (18%) |
19% |
n/a |
80% |
0% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (27%) |
5% |
n/a |
94% |
0% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Approve (52%) |
83% |
n/a |
16% |
1% |
|
Disapprove (44%) |
10% |
n/a |
88% |
0% |
|
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Very Well (8%) |
97% |
n/a |
3% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Well (38%) |
87% |
n/a |
12% |
1% |
|
Somewhat Badly (26%) |
28% |
n/a |
71% |
0% |
|
Very Badly (26%) |
3% |
n/a |
96% |
0% |
|
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Well (45%) |
89% |
n/a |
10% |
0% |
|
Badly (51%) |
15% |
n/a |
84% |
0% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (48%) |
11% |
n/a |
89% |
0% |
|
No (48%) |
89% |
n/a |
10% |
1% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (50%) |
89% |
n/a |
11% |
0% |
|
No (50%) |
11% |
n/a |
88% |
1% |
|
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Better (28%) |
81% |
+43 |
19% |
0% |
|
Worse (29%) |
16% |
-56 |
83% |
0% |
|
Same (41%) |
53% |
-3 |
46% |
1% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (43%) |
7% |
n/a |
93% |
0% |
|
No (54%) |
85% |
n/a |
14% |
1% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (60%) |
79% |
n/a |
20% |
0% |
|
No (37%) |
4% |
n/a |
95% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Big Cities (-) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Smaller Cities (31%) |
44% |
n/a |
56% |
0% |
|
Suburbs (15%) |
53% |
n/a |
46% |
1% |
|
Small Towns (15%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
0% |
|
Rural (39%) |
56% |
n/a |
44% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Urban (29%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
0% |
|
Suburban (13%) |
51% |
n/a |
49% |
0% |
|
Rural (58%) |
53% |
n/a |
46% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY REGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Central Iowa (28%) |
50% |
n/a |
50% |
0% |
|
Eastern Iowa (48%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
1% |
|
Western Iowa (24%) |
58% |
n/a |
41% |
0% |
|
|
|
|