U.S. PRESIDENT / FLORIDA / EXIT POLL
|
2,862 Respondents |
Updated: 2:05 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Male (46%) |
53% |
n/a |
46% |
1% |
|
Female (54%) |
50% |
+5 |
49% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
White Men (33%) |
59% |
n/a |
40% |
0% |
|
White Women (38%) |
56% |
n/a |
43% |
0% |
|
Non-White Men (13%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
1% |
|
Non-White Women (16%) |
38% |
n/a |
62% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY RACE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
White (70%) |
57% |
+0 |
42% |
0% |
|
African-American (12%) |
13% |
+6 |
86% |
1% |
|
Latino (15%) |
56% |
+7 |
44% |
0% |
|
Asian (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Other (2%) |
66% |
n/a |
34% |
* |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
18-29 (17%) |
41% |
+1 |
58% |
0% |
|
30-44 (27%) |
53% |
+3 |
46% |
0% |
|
45-59 (28%) |
57% |
+8 |
42% |
0% |
|
60 and Older (27%) |
52% |
+1 |
47% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
18-64 (81%) |
52% |
+4 |
47% |
0% |
|
65 and Older (19%) |
51% |
n/a |
48% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Under $15,000 (9%) |
40% |
n/a |
59% |
1% |
|
$15-30,000 (15%) |
39% |
n/a |
59% |
1% |
|
$30-50,000 (22%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
0% |
|
$50-75,000 (21%) |
54% |
n/a |
45% |
0% |
|
$75-100,000 (14%) |
62% |
n/a |
37% |
0% |
|
$100-150,000 (10%) |
56% |
n/a |
44% |
* |
|
$150-200,000 (4%) |
60% |
n/a |
38% |
1% |
|
$200,000 or More (5%) |
59% |
n/a |
41% |
* |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Less Than $50,000 (46%) |
43% |
n/a |
55% |
1% |
|
$50,000 or More (54%) |
58% |
n/a |
42% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Less Than $100,000 (81%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
1% |
|
$100,000 or More (19%) |
58% |
n/a |
42% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No High School (3%) |
45% |
-2 |
53% |
1% |
|
H.S. Graduate (20%) |
48% |
+6 |
51% |
0% |
|
Some College (34%) |
51% |
+2 |
48% |
0% |
|
College Graduate (27%) |
56% |
n/a |
44% |
0% |
|
Postgrad Study (15%) |
53% |
+1 |
45% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No College Degree (57%) |
50% |
n/a |
49% |
0% |
|
College Graduate (43%) |
54% |
n/a |
44% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Democrat (37%) |
14% |
+1 |
85% |
0% |
|
Republican (41%) |
93% |
+2 |
7% |
0% |
|
Independent (23%) |
41% |
-5 |
57% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Liberal (20%) |
18% |
+1 |
81% |
1% |
|
Moderate (47%) |
43% |
-3 |
56% |
0% |
|
Conservative (34%) |
86% |
+9 |
13% |
0% |
|
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No (13%) |
43% |
n/a |
56% |
* |
|
Yes (87%) |
53% |
n/a |
46% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Protestant (51%) |
59% |
+4 |
40% |
0% |
|
Catholic (28%) |
57% |
+5 |
42% |
0% |
|
Jewish (5%) |
20% |
n/a |
80% |
* |
|
Other (5%) |
29% |
-11 |
69% |
1% |
|
None (11%) |
31% |
+5 |
66% |
1% |
|
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (15%) |
95% |
n/a |
5% |
* |
|
No (85%) |
44% |
n/a |
55% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
More Than Weekly (12%) |
65% |
+12 |
35% |
* |
|
Weekly (23%) |
63% |
+11 |
37% |
0% |
|
Monthly (16%) |
51% |
+9 |
48% |
0% |
|
A Few Times a Year (29%) |
47% |
-4 |
52% |
1% |
|
Never (17%) |
37% |
-4 |
62% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Weekly (35%) |
64% |
n/a |
36% |
0% |
|
Occasionally (44%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
0% |
|
Never (17%) |
37% |
n/a |
62% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION AND ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Protestant/Weekly (12%) |
70% |
n/a |
30% |
0% |
|
Prot./Less Often (16%) |
58% |
n/a |
41% |
1% |
|
Catholic/Weekly (12%) |
66% |
n/a |
34% |
* |
|
Catholic/Less Often (14%) |
50% |
n/a |
49% |
0% |
|
All Others (42%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
1% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Today (6%) |
44% |
n/a |
53% |
2% |
|
Last Three Days (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Last Week (3%) |
29% |
n/a |
68% |
3% |
|
Last Month (12%) |
40% |
n/a |
59% |
0% |
|
Before That (77%) |
56% |
n/a |
44% |
0% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Today/Last 3 Days (8%) |
45% |
n/a |
52% |
2% |
|
Earlier Than That (92%) |
53% |
n/a |
46% |
0% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Within the Last Week (11%) |
41% |
n/a |
57% |
2% |
|
Earlier Than That (89%) |
54% |
n/a |
46% |
0% |
|
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
For Your Candidate (69%) |
60% |
n/a |
39% |
0% |
|
Against His Opponent (27%) |
30% |
n/a |
69% |
0% |
|
STATE ECONOMY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Excellent (9%) |
87% |
n/a |
13% |
0% |
|
Good (51%) |
70% |
n/a |
29% |
0% |
|
Not So Good (28%) |
22% |
n/a |
77% |
1% |
|
Poor (10%) |
8% |
n/a |
91% |
1% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (36%) |
96% |
n/a |
4% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Approve (18%) |
83% |
n/a |
16% |
1% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (11%) |
14% |
n/a |
83% |
1% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (33%) |
1% |
n/a |
98% |
1% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Approve (54%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
0% |
|
Disapprove (45%) |
4% |
n/a |
94% |
1% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Taxes (5%) |
65% |
n/a |
34% |
1% |
|
Education (4%) |
25% |
n/a |
72% |
2% |
|
Iraq (17%) |
26% |
n/a |
74% |
1% |
|
Terrorism (24%) |
87% |
n/a |
12% |
0% |
|
Economy/Jobs (16%) |
13% |
n/a |
86% |
* |
|
Moral Values (20%) |
80% |
n/a |
19% |
0% |
|
Health Care (8%) |
19% |
n/a |
80% |
1% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Cares About People (11%) |
29% |
n/a |
70% |
1% |
|
Religious Faith (7%) |
91% |
n/a |
8% |
0% |
|
Honest/Trustworthy (12%) |
76% |
n/a |
24% |
0% |
|
Strong Leader (19%) |
88% |
n/a |
12% |
0% |
|
Intelligent (7%) |
14% |
n/a |
84% |
0% |
|
Will Bring Change (24%) |
3% |
n/a |
96% |
0% |
|
Clear Stand on Issue (16%) |
80% |
n/a |
18% |
1% |
|
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Safer From Terrorism (56%) |
83% |
n/a |
17% |
0% |
|
Less Safe (41%) |
11% |
n/a |
88% |
1% |
|
GOVERNMENT RESPONSE TO HURRICANES |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Approve (87%) |
57% |
n/a |
43% |
0% |
|
Disapprove (11%) |
16% |
n/a |
81% |
1% |
|
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Very Confident (38%) |
81% |
n/a |
18% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Confident (38%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
1% |
|
Not Very Confident (19%) |
16% |
n/a |
83% |
1% |
|
Not At All Confident (6%) |
6% |
n/a |
93% |
* |
|
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Confident (73%) |
64% |
n/a |
35% |
0% |
|
Not Confident (24%) |
13% |
n/a |
86% |
0% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (33%) |
97% |
n/a |
3% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Approve (22%) |
73% |
n/a |
26% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (14%) |
22% |
n/a |
76% |
1% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (31%) |
4% |
n/a |
95% |
1% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Approve (53%) |
87% |
n/a |
12% |
0% |
|
Disapprove (44%) |
9% |
n/a |
89% |
1% |
|
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Very Well (11%) |
96% |
n/a |
4% |
* |
|
Somewhat Well (35%) |
91% |
n/a |
8% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Badly (21%) |
34% |
n/a |
64% |
0% |
|
Very Badly (32%) |
4% |
n/a |
94% |
1% |
|
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Well (45%) |
92% |
n/a |
7% |
0% |
|
Badly (52%) |
16% |
n/a |
83% |
1% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (46%) |
13% |
n/a |
87% |
0% |
|
No (51%) |
87% |
n/a |
11% |
0% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (51%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
0% |
|
No (49%) |
10% |
n/a |
88% |
1% |
|
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Better (34%) |
85% |
+49 |
15% |
0% |
|
Worse (27%) |
13% |
-49 |
86% |
1% |
|
Same (38%) |
50% |
-14 |
49% |
0% |
|
WERE YOU CONTACTED BY KERRY CAMPAIGN? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (35%) |
34% |
n/a |
65% |
1% |
|
No (65%) |
60% |
n/a |
39% |
0% |
|
WERE YOU CONTACTED BY BUSH CAMPAIGN? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (34%) |
63% |
n/a |
36% |
0% |
|
No (66%) |
44% |
n/a |
54% |
0% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (41%) |
6% |
n/a |
93% |
0% |
|
No (56%) |
86% |
n/a |
13% |
0% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (58%) |
83% |
n/a |
16% |
0% |
|
No (39%) |
6% |
n/a |
93% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Big Cities (6%) |
67% |
n/a |
33% |
* |
|
Smaller Cities (21%) |
50% |
n/a |
48% |
1% |
|
Suburbs (61%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
0% |
|
Small Towns (9%) |
55% |
n/a |
44% |
0% |
|
Rural (4%) |
69% |
n/a |
31% |
* |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Urban (25%) |
55% |
+6 |
44% |
1% |
|
Suburban (61%) |
50% |
+3 |
50% |
0% |
|
Rural (14%) |
58% |
+2 |
41% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY REGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Miami Area (26%) |
40% |
n/a |
59% |
0% |
|
Southern Florida (14%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
1% |
|
Tampa Area (16%) |
51% |
n/a |
48% |
1% |
|
Central Florida (22%) |
57% |
n/a |
42% |
0% |
|
Northern Florida (22%) |
61% |
n/a |
39% |
* |
|
|
|
|