U.S. PRESIDENT / NEW YORK / EXIT POLL
|
1,452 Respondents |
Updated: 2:04 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Male (45%) |
42% |
+1 |
56% |
2% |
|
Female (55%) |
40% |
+9 |
60% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
White Men (32%) |
52% |
n/a |
46% |
2% |
|
White Women (40%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
Non-White Men (12%) |
15% |
n/a |
83% |
2% |
|
Non-White Women (15%) |
19% |
n/a |
80% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY RACE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
White (72%) |
50% |
+8 |
49% |
1% |
|
African-American (13%) |
9% |
+1 |
90% |
1% |
|
Latino (9%) |
24% |
+6 |
75% |
1% |
|
Asian (4%) |
27% |
n/a |
72% |
* |
|
Other (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
18-29 (17%) |
25% |
-5 |
72% |
2% |
|
30-44 (29%) |
38% |
+3 |
61% |
2% |
|
45-59 (32%) |
47% |
+11 |
52% |
1% |
|
60 and Older (22%) |
47% |
+7 |
53% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
18-64 (87%) |
38% |
+3 |
60% |
1% |
|
65 and Older (13%) |
55% |
+14 |
45% |
* |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Under $15,000 (5%) |
26% |
n/a |
69% |
4% |
|
$15-30,000 (10%) |
33% |
n/a |
66% |
1% |
|
$30-50,000 (21%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
1% |
|
$50-75,000 (23%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
1% |
|
$75-100,000 (16%) |
40% |
n/a |
58% |
2% |
|
$100-150,000 (15%) |
37% |
n/a |
63% |
1% |
|
$150-200,000 (5%) |
39% |
n/a |
61% |
* |
|
$200,000 or More (6%) |
57% |
n/a |
42% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Less Than $50,000 (36%) |
35% |
n/a |
63% |
2% |
|
$50,000 or More (64%) |
43% |
n/a |
56% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Less Than $100,000 (75%) |
40% |
n/a |
59% |
1% |
|
$100,000 or More (25%) |
42% |
n/a |
58% |
1% |
|
ANYONE IN HOUSEHOLD IN A UNION? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (38%) |
37% |
n/a |
61% |
1% |
|
No (62%) |
43% |
n/a |
55% |
1% |
|
ARE YOU A UNION MEMBER? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (23%) |
38% |
n/a |
61% |
1% |
|
No (77%) |
42% |
n/a |
57% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No High School (3%) |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|
H.S. Graduate (18%) |
49% |
+5 |
50% |
1% |
|
Some College (26%) |
45% |
+9 |
53% |
1% |
|
College Graduate (29%) |
40% |
+6 |
59% |
1% |
|
Postgrad Study (24%) |
30% |
-3 |
69% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No College Degree (47%) |
46% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
College Graduate (53%) |
35% |
n/a |
63% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Democrat (45%) |
10% |
+3 |
89% |
1% |
|
Republican (29%) |
88% |
+9 |
12% |
1% |
|
Independent (26%) |
40% |
+2 |
57% |
3% |
|
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Liberal (27%) |
11% |
+1 |
88% |
1% |
|
Moderate (48%) |
39% |
+5 |
59% |
2% |
|
Conservative (25%) |
75% |
+4 |
24% |
1% |
|
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No (10%) |
33% |
n/a |
66% |
1% |
|
Yes (90%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Protestant (31%) |
46% |
+3 |
54% |
1% |
|
Catholic (42%) |
51% |
+11 |
48% |
1% |
|
Jewish (8%) |
18% |
n/a |
80% |
2% |
|
Other (7%) |
15% |
-5 |
83% |
2% |
|
None (12%) |
19% |
-4 |
78% |
2% |
|
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (6%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
* |
|
No (94%) |
37% |
n/a |
62% |
1% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Today (7%) |
34% |
n/a |
64% |
2% |
|
Last Three Days (4%) |
49% |
n/a |
48% |
3% |
|
Last Week (4%) |
32% |
n/a |
62% |
6% |
|
Last Month (11%) |
42% |
n/a |
56% |
3% |
|
Before That (74%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
1% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Today/Last 3 Days (10%) |
39% |
n/a |
58% |
2% |
|
Earlier Than That (90%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
1% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Within the Last Week (14%) |
37% |
n/a |
59% |
3% |
|
Earlier Than That (86%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
1% |
|
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
For Your Candidate (64%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
1% |
|
Against His Opponent (33%) |
25% |
n/a |
73% |
3% |
|
STATE ECONOMY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Excellent (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Good (38%) |
65% |
n/a |
35% |
1% |
|
Not So Good (44%) |
29% |
n/a |
69% |
2% |
|
Poor (14%) |
27% |
n/a |
70% |
3% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (20%) |
94% |
n/a |
6% |
* |
|
Somewhat Approve (23%) |
81% |
n/a |
17% |
2% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (15%) |
16% |
n/a |
83% |
1% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (41%) |
1% |
n/a |
97% |
2% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Approve (42%) |
87% |
n/a |
12% |
1% |
|
Disapprove (56%) |
5% |
n/a |
93% |
2% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Taxes (6%) |
47% |
n/a |
50% |
3% |
|
Education (4%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Iraq (23%) |
16% |
n/a |
82% |
2% |
|
Terrorism (23%) |
82% |
n/a |
18% |
0% |
|
Economy/Jobs (19%) |
14% |
n/a |
83% |
3% |
|
Moral Values (12%) |
66% |
n/a |
33% |
1% |
|
Health Care (6%) |
22% |
n/a |
78% |
* |
|
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Cares About People (10%) |
29% |
n/a |
69% |
2% |
|
Religious Faith (5%) |
92% |
n/a |
6% |
1% |
|
Honest/Trustworthy (9%) |
56% |
n/a |
43% |
0% |
|
Strong Leader (18%) |
86% |
n/a |
14% |
0% |
|
Intelligent (10%) |
2% |
n/a |
95% |
2% |
|
Will Bring Change (32%) |
4% |
n/a |
94% |
3% |
|
Clear Stand on Issue (13%) |
75% |
n/a |
24% |
1% |
|
WORRIED ABOUT TERRORISM |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Very Worried (26%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
1% |
|
Somewhat Worried (50%) |
47% |
n/a |
51% |
2% |
|
Not Too Worried (19%) |
28% |
n/a |
69% |
3% |
|
Not At All Worried (5%) |
37% |
n/a |
63% |
* |
|
WORRIED ABOUT TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (75%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
2% |
|
No (24%) |
30% |
n/a |
68% |
2% |
|
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Safer From Terrorism (47%) |
68% |
n/a |
31% |
1% |
|
Less Safe (50%) |
16% |
n/a |
83% |
1% |
|
WOULD SEN. CLINTON BE A GOOD PRESIDENT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (48%) |
11% |
n/a |
87% |
2% |
|
No (50%) |
73% |
n/a |
25% |
2% |
|
WOULD GIULIANI BE A GOOD PRESIDENT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (52%) |
63% |
n/a |
36% |
1% |
|
No (46%) |
21% |
n/a |
77% |
2% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (18%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Approve (25%) |
74% |
n/a |
24% |
2% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (18%) |
23% |
n/a |
76% |
2% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (39%) |
4% |
n/a |
94% |
2% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Approve (41%) |
82% |
n/a |
17% |
1% |
|
Disapprove (54%) |
10% |
n/a |
88% |
2% |
|
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Very Well (5%) |
84% |
n/a |
16% |
* |
|
Somewhat Well (29%) |
88% |
n/a |
11% |
1% |
|
Somewhat Badly (24%) |
34% |
n/a |
64% |
2% |
|
Very Badly (41%) |
5% |
n/a |
94% |
2% |
|
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Well (32%) |
87% |
n/a |
12% |
1% |
|
Badly (62%) |
16% |
n/a |
83% |
2% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (47%) |
10% |
n/a |
90% |
1% |
|
No (47%) |
77% |
n/a |
21% |
3% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (39%) |
90% |
n/a |
10% |
* |
|
No (61%) |
12% |
n/a |
85% |
3% |
|
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Better (27%) |
66% |
+38 |
33% |
1% |
|
Worse (30%) |
17% |
-33 |
81% |
2% |
|
Same (42%) |
41% |
n/a |
57% |
2% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (42%) |
7% |
n/a |
92% |
1% |
|
No (51%) |
73% |
n/a |
24% |
2% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (49%) |
77% |
n/a |
23% |
1% |
|
No (45%) |
7% |
n/a |
90% |
3% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Big Cities (33%) |
24% |
n/a |
74% |
1% |
|
Smaller Cities (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Suburbs (61%) |
51% |
n/a |
48% |
1% |
|
Small Towns (-) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Rural (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Urban (36%) |
25% |
+6 |
74% |
1% |
|
Suburban (61%) |
51% |
+5 |
48% |
1% |
|
Rural (3%) |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|
VOTE BY REGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
New York City (33%) |
24% |
n/a |
74% |
1% |
|
Long Island (18%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
2% |
|
Lower Hudson Valley (13%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
2% |
|
Urban Upstate (21%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
2% |
|
Rural Upstate (15%) |
55% |
n/a |
45% |
* |
|
|
|
|