U.S. PRESIDENT / OHIO / EXIT POLL
|
2,020 Respondents |
Updated: 2:06 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Male (47%) |
52% |
-5 |
47% |
|
Female (53%) |
50% |
+5 |
50% |
|
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
White Men (40%) |
56% |
n/a |
43% |
|
White Women (46%) |
55% |
n/a |
45% |
|
Non-White Men (7%) |
27% |
n/a |
73% |
|
Non-White Women (8%) |
18% |
n/a |
82% |
|
VOTE BY RACE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
White (86%) |
56% |
+1 |
44% |
|
African-American (10%) |
16% |
+7 |
84% |
|
Latino (3%) |
35% |
n/a |
65% |
|
Asian (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Other (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
18-29 (21%) |
42% |
-7 |
56% |
|
30-44 (30%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
|
45-59 (29%) |
52% |
+3 |
48% |
|
60 and Older (20%) |
57% |
+10 |
43% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
18-64 (88%) |
50% |
n/a |
50% |
|
65 and Older (12%) |
58% |
+12 |
42% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Under $15,000 (7%) |
29% |
n/a |
71% |
|
$15-30,000 (16%) |
37% |
n/a |
63% |
|
$30-50,000 (25%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
|
$50-75,000 (22%) |
58% |
n/a |
41% |
|
$75-100,000 (15%) |
55% |
n/a |
45% |
|
$100-150,000 (9%) |
58% |
n/a |
42% |
|
$150-200,000 (4%) |
63% |
n/a |
37% |
|
$200,000 or More (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Less Than $50,000 (48%) |
42% |
n/a |
58% |
|
$50,000 or More (52%) |
58% |
n/a |
42% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Less Than $100,000 (86%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
|
$100,000 or More (14%) |
61% |
n/a |
39% |
|
ANYONE IN HOUSEHOLD IN A UNION? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (34%) |
42% |
n/a |
58% |
|
No (66%) |
56% |
n/a |
44% |
|
ARE YOU A UNION MEMBER? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (17%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
|
No (83%) |
53% |
n/a |
46% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No High School (4%) |
42% |
+12 |
58% |
|
H.S. Graduate (30%) |
49% |
+5 |
51% |
|
Some College (29%) |
52% |
n/a |
48% |
|
College Graduate (25%) |
55% |
-3 |
45% |
|
Postgrad Study (13%) |
51% |
+0 |
49% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No College Degree (62%) |
50% |
n/a |
50% |
|
College Graduate (38%) |
53% |
n/a |
46% |
|
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Democrat (35%) |
9% |
+0 |
90% |
|
Republican (40%) |
94% |
+5 |
6% |
|
Independent (25%) |
40% |
-14 |
59% |
|
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Liberal (19%) |
14% |
+2 |
85% |
|
Moderate (47%) |
41% |
-7 |
59% |
|
Conservative (34%) |
87% |
+5 |
13% |
|
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No (15%) |
46% |
n/a |
54% |
|
Yes (85%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Protestant (57%) |
56% |
+2 |
44% |
|
Catholic (26%) |
55% |
+5 |
44% |
|
Jewish (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Other (6%) |
26% |
-4 |
72% |
|
None (10%) |
29% |
-9 |
69% |
|
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (17%) |
91% |
n/a |
9% |
|
No (83%) |
43% |
n/a |
57% |
|
WHITE EVANGELICAL/BORN-AGAIN? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (25%) |
76% |
n/a |
24% |
|
No (75%) |
43% |
n/a |
56% |
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
More Than Weekly (14%) |
69% |
+17 |
31% |
|
Weekly (26%) |
64% |
+5 |
36% |
|
Monthly (15%) |
50% |
-2 |
50% |
|
A Few Times a Year (28%) |
40% |
-4 |
60% |
|
Never (14%) |
35% |
+1 |
63% |
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Weekly (38%) |
65% |
n/a |
35% |
|
Occasionally (41%) |
43% |
n/a |
57% |
|
Never (13%) |
35% |
n/a |
63% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION AND ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Protestant/Weekly (16%) |
69% |
n/a |
31% |
|
Prot./Less Often (16%) |
48% |
n/a |
52% |
|
Catholic/Weekly (11%) |
65% |
n/a |
35% |
|
Catholic/Less Often (13%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
|
All Others (38%) |
43% |
n/a |
56% |
|
ARE YOU MARRIED? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (62%) |
59% |
+6 |
41% |
|
No (38%) |
38% |
-3 |
62% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Today (5%) |
39% |
n/a |
61% |
|
Last Three Days (4%) |
36% |
n/a |
64% |
|
Last Week (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Last Month (11%) |
36% |
n/a |
61% |
|
Before That (78%) |
55% |
n/a |
45% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Today/Last 3 Days (9%) |
38% |
n/a |
62% |
|
Earlier Than That (91%) |
53% |
n/a |
47% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Within the Last Week (11%) |
40% |
n/a |
60% |
|
Earlier Than That (89%) |
53% |
n/a |
47% |
|
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
For Your Candidate (71%) |
59% |
n/a |
40% |
|
Against His Opponent (25%) |
31% |
n/a |
68% |
|
STATE ECONOMY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Excellent (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Good (38%) |
86% |
n/a |
13% |
|
Not So Good (38%) |
36% |
n/a |
63% |
|
Poor (19%) |
10% |
n/a |
90% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (31%) |
98% |
n/a |
2% |
|
Somewhat Approve (22%) |
86% |
n/a |
14% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (14%) |
14% |
n/a |
86% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (32%) |
1% |
n/a |
98% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Approve (53%) |
93% |
n/a |
7% |
|
Disapprove (46%) |
5% |
n/a |
94% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Taxes (6%) |
62% |
n/a |
38% |
|
Education (5%) |
32% |
n/a |
66% |
|
Iraq (13%) |
28% |
n/a |
72% |
|
Terrorism (17%) |
90% |
n/a |
10% |
|
Economy/Jobs (24%) |
17% |
n/a |
83% |
|
Moral Values (23%) |
85% |
n/a |
14% |
|
Health Care (5%) |
25% |
n/a |
75% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Cares About People (12%) |
32% |
n/a |
68% |
|
Religious Faith (10%) |
95% |
n/a |
5% |
|
Honest/Trustworthy (11%) |
74% |
n/a |
26% |
|
Strong Leader (19%) |
87% |
n/a |
13% |
|
Intelligent (7%) |
7% |
n/a |
93% |
|
Will Bring Change (24%) |
6% |
n/a |
93% |
|
Clear Stand on Issue (13%) |
79% |
n/a |
20% |
|
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Safer From Terrorism (58%) |
78% |
n/a |
22% |
|
Less Safe (39%) |
14% |
n/a |
85% |
|
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Very Confident (41%) |
69% |
n/a |
30% |
|
Somewhat Confident (47%) |
45% |
n/a |
55% |
|
Not Very Confident (9%) |
21% |
n/a |
79% |
|
Not At All Confident (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Confident (83%) |
56% |
n/a |
43% |
|
Not Confident (12%) |
19% |
n/a |
81% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (30%) |
91% |
n/a |
9% |
|
Somewhat Approve (26%) |
74% |
n/a |
25% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (15%) |
22% |
n/a |
78% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (27%) |
3% |
n/a |
96% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Approve (54%) |
83% |
n/a |
17% |
|
Disapprove (40%) |
10% |
n/a |
90% |
|
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Very Well (11%) |
94% |
n/a |
6% |
|
Somewhat Well (36%) |
89% |
n/a |
11% |
|
Somewhat Badly (24%) |
29% |
n/a |
71% |
|
Very Badly (27%) |
4% |
n/a |
95% |
|
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Well (45%) |
90% |
n/a |
9% |
|
Badly (49%) |
16% |
n/a |
84% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (44%) |
9% |
n/a |
91% |
|
No (50%) |
88% |
n/a |
11% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (51%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
|
No (49%) |
9% |
n/a |
91% |
|
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Better (29%) |
87% |
+51 |
13% |
|
Worse (32%) |
15% |
-44 |
85% |
|
Same (37%) |
55% |
-10 |
45% |
|
JOB SITUATION IN YOUR AREA |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Better Today (17%) |
93% |
n/a |
6% |
|
Worse Today (55%) |
25% |
n/a |
75% |
|
About the Same (28%) |
77% |
n/a |
23% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (40%) |
6% |
n/a |
94% |
|
No (53%) |
86% |
n/a |
14% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (58%) |
81% |
n/a |
19% |
|
No (36%) |
4% |
n/a |
95% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Big Cities (6%) |
53% |
n/a |
43% |
|
Smaller Cities (19%) |
38% |
n/a |
62% |
|
Suburbs (49%) |
51% |
n/a |
49% |
|
Small Towns (6%) |
49% |
n/a |
49% |
|
Rural (19%) |
63% |
n/a |
36% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Urban (25%) |
41% |
+6 |
58% |
|
Suburban (49%) |
51% |
-2 |
49% |
|
Rural (25%) |
60% |
+4 |
40% |
|
VOTE BY REGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Cuyahoga County (12%) |
35% |
n/a |
65% |
|
Northeastern Ohio (27%) |
50% |
n/a |
50% |
|
Central Ohio (20%) |
58% |
n/a |
40% |
|
Northwestern Ohio (15%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
|
Southwestern Ohio (26%) |
55% |
n/a |
45% |
|
VOTE FOR U.S. SENATE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Democrat (36%) |
6% |
n/a |
94% |
|
Republican (64%) |
77% |
n/a |
23% |
|
|
|
|