U.S. PRESIDENT / WASHINGTON / EXIT POLL
|
2,178 Respondents |
Updated: 2:31 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Male (45%) |
50% |
+0 |
48% |
1% |
|
Female (55%) |
43% |
+3 |
57% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
White Men (38%) |
48% |
n/a |
49% |
1% |
|
White Women (50%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
0% |
|
Non-White Men (6%) |
59% |
n/a |
40% |
1% |
|
Non-White Women (6%) |
24% |
n/a |
74% |
2% |
|
VOTE BY RACE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
White (88%) |
46% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
African-American (2%) |
25% |
n/a |
73% |
2% |
|
Latino (5%) |
48% |
n/a |
52% |
* |
|
Asian (2%) |
33% |
n/a |
67% |
* |
|
Other (3%) |
51% |
n/a |
46% |
3% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
18-29 (12%) |
47% |
+2 |
50% |
1% |
|
30-44 (27%) |
44% |
-5 |
54% |
1% |
|
45-59 (34%) |
41% |
+3 |
58% |
1% |
|
60 and Older (27%) |
53% |
+7 |
46% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
18-64 (81%) |
44% |
+0 |
55% |
1% |
|
65 and Older (19%) |
54% |
+6 |
45% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Under $15,000 (9%) |
38% |
n/a |
59% |
2% |
|
$15-30,000 (11%) |
43% |
n/a |
56% |
0% |
|
$30-50,000 (19%) |
50% |
n/a |
48% |
0% |
|
$50-75,000 (23%) |
54% |
n/a |
44% |
2% |
|
$75-100,000 (15%) |
44% |
n/a |
56% |
* |
|
$100-150,000 (13%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
0% |
|
$150-200,000 (5%) |
31% |
n/a |
67% |
* |
|
$200,000 or More (4%) |
36% |
n/a |
64% |
* |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Less Than $50,000 (39%) |
45% |
n/a |
53% |
1% |
|
$50,000 or More (61%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Less Than $100,000 (78%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
1% |
|
$100,000 or More (22%) |
37% |
n/a |
63% |
0% |
|
ANYONE IN HOUSEHOLD IN A UNION? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (27%) |
44% |
n/a |
55% |
1% |
|
No (73%) |
46% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
ARE YOU A UNION MEMBER? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (17%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
0% |
|
No (83%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No High School (3%) |
39% |
+13 |
56% |
4% |
|
H.S. Graduate (15%) |
56% |
+9 |
44% |
0% |
|
Some College (29%) |
50% |
-3 |
49% |
1% |
|
College Graduate (34%) |
47% |
+3 |
52% |
1% |
|
Postgrad Study (19%) |
30% |
-3 |
69% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No College Degree (47%) |
51% |
n/a |
47% |
1% |
|
College Graduate (53%) |
41% |
n/a |
58% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Democrat (36%) |
6% |
-3 |
93% |
0% |
|
Republican (32%) |
94% |
+3 |
5% |
0% |
|
Independent (33%) |
41% |
-2 |
55% |
2% |
|
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Liberal (27%) |
8% |
+3 |
91% |
1% |
|
Moderate (40%) |
37% |
-4 |
62% |
1% |
|
Conservative (33%) |
88% |
+3 |
10% |
1% |
|
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
No (8%) |
46% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
Yes (92%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Protestant (59%) |
56% |
+1 |
42% |
1% |
|
Catholic (16%) |
37% |
-3 |
62% |
1% |
|
Jewish (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Other (8%) |
23% |
+2 |
72% |
2% |
|
None (17%) |
27% |
+0 |
72% |
1% |
|
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (21%) |
89% |
n/a |
10% |
0% |
|
No (79%) |
34% |
n/a |
64% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
More Than Weekly (13%) |
72% |
+7 |
27% |
0% |
|
Weekly (22%) |
60% |
+7 |
38% |
1% |
|
Monthly (11%) |
46% |
-2 |
53% |
1% |
|
A Few Times a Year (27%) |
39% |
-2 |
59% |
2% |
|
Never (26%) |
27% |
-5 |
71% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Weekly (34%) |
65% |
n/a |
34% |
1% |
|
Occasionally (38%) |
41% |
n/a |
57% |
1% |
|
Never (25%) |
27% |
n/a |
71% |
0% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION AND ATTENDANCE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Protestant/Weekly (18%) |
72% |
n/a |
26% |
0% |
|
Prot./Less Often (21%) |
48% |
n/a |
50% |
1% |
|
Catholic/Weekly (6%) |
46% |
n/a |
51% |
3% |
|
Catholic/Less Often (9%) |
31% |
n/a |
69% |
* |
|
All Others (44%) |
37% |
n/a |
62% |
1% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Today (4%) |
40% |
n/a |
56% |
1% |
|
Last Three Days (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Last Week (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Last Month (9%) |
46% |
n/a |
51% |
2% |
|
Before That (81%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
1% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Today/Last 3 Days (7%) |
45% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
Earlier Than That (93%) |
46% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Within the Last Week (10%) |
50% |
n/a |
47% |
0% |
|
Earlier Than That (90%) |
46% |
n/a |
53% |
1% |
|
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
For Your Candidate (64%) |
58% |
n/a |
42% |
0% |
|
Against His Opponent (31%) |
24% |
n/a |
76% |
0% |
|
STATE ECONOMY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Excellent (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
* |
|
Good (41%) |
55% |
n/a |
43% |
1% |
|
Not So Good (45%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
1% |
|
Poor (11%) |
33% |
n/a |
64% |
2% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (27%) |
97% |
n/a |
2% |
1% |
|
Somewhat Approve (19%) |
87% |
n/a |
11% |
1% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (13%) |
21% |
n/a |
76% |
2% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (41%) |
0% |
n/a |
99% |
0% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Approve (46%) |
93% |
n/a |
6% |
1% |
|
Disapprove (53%) |
5% |
n/a |
93% |
1% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Taxes (4%) |
69% |
n/a |
31% |
* |
|
Education (3%) |
22% |
n/a |
72% |
3% |
|
Iraq (26%) |
22% |
n/a |
77% |
1% |
|
Terrorism (18%) |
84% |
n/a |
16% |
* |
|
Economy/Jobs (19%) |
16% |
n/a |
82% |
1% |
|
Moral Values (20%) |
74% |
n/a |
24% |
1% |
|
Health Care (6%) |
30% |
n/a |
67% |
4% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Cares About People (7%) |
27% |
n/a |
69% |
1% |
|
Religious Faith (6%) |
96% |
n/a |
4% |
* |
|
Honest/Trustworthy (15%) |
61% |
n/a |
37% |
1% |
|
Strong Leader (17%) |
82% |
n/a |
18% |
* |
|
Intelligent (11%) |
3% |
n/a |
96% |
1% |
|
Will Bring Change (25%) |
4% |
n/a |
94% |
1% |
|
Clear Stand on Issue (14%) |
81% |
n/a |
17% |
2% |
|
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Safer From Terrorism (50%) |
77% |
n/a |
22% |
1% |
|
Less Safe (44%) |
10% |
n/a |
87% |
1% |
|
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Very Confident (52%) |
54% |
n/a |
45% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Confident (40%) |
38% |
n/a |
60% |
1% |
|
Not Very Confident (6%) |
29% |
n/a |
69% |
2% |
|
Not At All Confident (2%) |
24% |
n/a |
72% |
1% |
|
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Confident (90%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
Not Confident (8%) |
28% |
n/a |
69% |
2% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (25%) |
97% |
n/a |
3% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Approve (22%) |
75% |
n/a |
23% |
1% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (14%) |
26% |
n/a |
74% |
0% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (38%) |
2% |
n/a |
95% |
1% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Approve (46%) |
86% |
n/a |
13% |
1% |
|
Disapprove (51%) |
9% |
n/a |
89% |
1% |
|
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Very Well (8%) |
100% |
n/a |
0% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Well (31%) |
89% |
n/a |
10% |
0% |
|
Somewhat Badly (24%) |
31% |
n/a |
67% |
1% |
|
Very Badly (35%) |
2% |
n/a |
95% |
1% |
|
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Well (39%) |
91% |
n/a |
8% |
0% |
|
Badly (58%) |
14% |
n/a |
84% |
1% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (52%) |
12% |
n/a |
87% |
0% |
|
No (45%) |
83% |
n/a |
14% |
2% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (43%) |
91% |
n/a |
8% |
0% |
|
No (57%) |
10% |
n/a |
87% |
1% |
|
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Better (30%) |
71% |
+38 |
27% |
1% |
|
Worse (26%) |
18% |
-44 |
80% |
1% |
|
Same (43%) |
45% |
-8 |
54% |
1% |
|
WHICH IS MORE IMPORTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Environment (34%) |
18% |
n/a |
79% |
2% |
|
Jobs (59%) |
61% |
n/a |
38% |
0% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (46%) |
6% |
n/a |
93% |
0% |
|
No (51%) |
82% |
n/a |
16% |
1% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Yes (55%) |
79% |
n/a |
20% |
1% |
|
No (43%) |
4% |
n/a |
94% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Big Cities (11%) |
25% |
n/a |
75% |
0% |
|
Smaller Cities (20%) |
37% |
n/a |
60% |
1% |
|
Suburbs (47%) |
50% |
n/a |
50% |
0% |
|
Small Towns (14%) |
52% |
n/a |
45% |
2% |
|
Rural (8%) |
59% |
n/a |
37% |
2% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Urban (26%) |
29% |
-8 |
68% |
1% |
|
Suburban (50%) |
51% |
+4 |
49% |
0% |
|
Rural (23%) |
56% |
+5 |
41% |
1% |
|
VOTE BY REGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
King County (31%) |
34% |
n/a |
66% |
0% |
|
Urban Puget Sound (27%) |
47% |
n/a |
52% |
1% |
|
Western Washington (22%) |
47% |
n/a |
49% |
2% |
|
Eastern Washington (20%) |
60% |
n/a |
39% |
0% |
|
VOTE FOR U.S. SENATE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
|
NADER |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 | 2004 |
|
Democrat (55%) |
10% |
n/a |
89% |
0% |
|
Republican (43%) |
92% |
n/a |
6% |
1% |
|
|
|
|